Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1352.106944 1541.802518 1753.931786 2009.718946 2311.089875 2656.459098 3084.467295
2025-08-17 1082.242755 1334.341885 1643.996459 2056.555086 2598.184891 3293.999593 4270.207595
2025-08-24 934.351612 1210.719708 1571.363204 2084.673642 2810.077138 3819.659903 5369.423117
2025-08-31 827.085810 1114.628257 1508.397250 2099.759690 2988.065912 4311.167790 6507.622432
2025-09-07 753.464875 1050.119387 1473.638608 2140.336666 3197.860218 4873.289359 7865.062441
2025-09-14 666.989868 954.611916 1379.063313 2073.072523 3224.071837 5143.675721 8790.578160
2025-09-21 597.000540 874.507791 1296.133037 2009.180848 3240.156992 5391.745610 9722.025505
2025-09-28 536.132491 801.397746 1214.836935 1935.231699 3224.341034 5575.442581 10565.754008
2025-10-05 513.807297 785.863726 1222.406452 2009.677985 3478.635007 6295.804280 12670.431834
2025-10-12 486.345168 758.960674 1207.744078 2042.217650 3658.928501 6904.858689 14699.709684
2025-10-19 459.336207 730.024746 1186.175928 2058.585663 3809.055705 7478.859657 16809.722239
2025-10-26 434.434967 702.252588 1163.508329 2069.358027 3948.401474 8054.993128 19096.502839
2025-11-02 419.081338 690.313402 1168.950129 2137.385889 4223.732218 9007.209570 22740.840184
2025-11-09 402.460720 674.724864 1166.296600 2189.444700 4475.131508 9965.646257 26789.292505
2025-11-16 384.594229 655.170892 1153.987261 2219.571256 4681.670884 10861.110753 31015.826288
2025-11-23 366.703061 633.983735 1136.333125 2235.842338 4858.348594 11721.762883 35508.838445
2025-11-30 353.384015 620.209068 1131.700171 2279.568306 5109.372988 12848.986434 41478.731491
2025-12-07 329.082721 583.546628 1078.017211 2207.088007 5055.546557 13092.524188 44247.042502
2025-12-14 307.286043 550.213275 1028.362619 2138.272289 5000.820084 13323.573619 47096.265780
2025-12-21 286.270773 517.025705 976.436896 2058.662437 4905.775183 13412.247859 49414.303583
2025-12-28 281.473311 515.713485 991.046916 2138.807624 5261.529230 15036.628400 59553.232370
2026-01-04 272.939386 506.202461 987.300405 2173.851395 5497.298994 16334.200225 69028.257012
2026-01-11 263.514925 494.185310 977.062742 2191.481998 5686.083804 17526.782258 78832.096645